Vitória SC vs Moreirense — Tips & Analysis

Moreirense +1: Vitoria cannot score, and that is why we want Moreirense with a start. Vitoria have scored one goal across their three home league games this season, a 0-0, a 1-0 and a 0-1. They score under a goal a game overall and have won 3 of their last 11. Big wins are simply not in them. Vitoria have won by 2 or more goals once in those 11 games. They also lose Ndoye to suspension here, which thins out an attack that was already blunt. The meetings say the same. These two have met 19 times with just over 2 goals a game between them, and three of the last five finished 1-0 to the hosts. That is our read again, a tight 1-0 to Vitoria, and we should be honest, we are asking Moreirense to do a little better than that. A tie is what we want, and in a game this close one Moreirense goal can bring it. They are more than capable of digging one out on a good day. The worry is that Moreirense travel badly. They have lost 5 of their 7 away games and they let in more than 2 goals a game on the road. They have also been beaten by 2 or more goals in 5 of their last 15. We still think Vitoria are too blunt to pull away.