Nice vs Lille — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: Nice have turned their own ground into a very quiet place. They have tied five of their six home games there, and they score less than a goal a game overall. Only 5 of their last 15 games have had 3 or more goals. They have won just twice in 15, so goals are not about to start flowing. Lille are clearly the better side, but they win these games in a low key way. They let in less than a goal a game on the road, where they have won seven of their eight away games. Only 6 of Lille's last 15 games have had 3 or more goals. Put the two together and you get long spells of very little football. The last meeting finished 0-0, and the last 19 meetings have averaged more than 2 goals in total. Lille should take the lead through one good moment, and bottom placed Nice do not have the players to answer it. A 0-1 Lille win is the likeliest score, and a night like that is exactly what we want. The honest warning is that Lille have given up better chances than the goals they let in suggest. Their back line may not stay this tidy, and an early goal would drag Nice out of their shell. We still expect a slow, low scoring evening in Nice.