Juventus vs Atalanta — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: These two produce quiet games. Only 3 of Juventus's last 14 games have had 3 or more goals, and their games average just over 2 goals in total. Juventus let in less than a goal a game. They have been even tighter at home, where they have won four, tied three and lost one. Atalanta are not the force they were. They score just over a goal a game and they have created very little lately. They have also lost their last two league games, 1-2 at home to Cagliari and 1-2 at Roma. Their games average just over 2 goals as well. The state of the home squad points the same way. Juventus are missing seven players, including Thuram, Locatelli and Milik, and they have had three days off to Atalanta's eight. A tired, thin side takes the lead and then keeps the ball rather than hunting a second goal. Fewer than half of the meetings between these two have had 3 or more goals. A 1-0 Juventus win is the likeliest score, and that is just the sort of night we are after. The risk is what Atalanta can still do on their day. They won 3-0 at this ground in February, so the ceiling is there. If a patched up Juventus back line cracks early, this could open up. We are still backing the low scoring game in Turin.