Getafe vs Malaga — Tips & Analysis

Getafe -0.25: Getafe are the stronger side here, and this looks like a game they win narrowly. Malaga sit bottom of La Liga on three points, having let in eight more goals than they have scored. They have managed three goals in six league games. Their away trips so far read 1-1 at Celta, 0-4 at Real Madrid and 0-2 at Atletico Madrid. Getafe are hardly free scoring themselves. They score under a goal a game and their matches average just under 2 goals in total. What they do have is a stubborn, awkward home ground. Getafe have won 4 and tied 2 of their 8 games at the Coliseum, letting in one goal a game there. One scrappy goal should be enough to decide it. The problem is finding it. Uche, Juanmi and Kiko Femenia are all out and Borja Mayoral is doubtful, so most of their attacking options are missing. Mario Martin is suspended on top of that. A 1-0 home win is the likeliest finish, and that suits this pick. The risk is real. Getafe have lost 7 of the last 14 meetings with Malaga, so this is closer than the table says. With the Getafe attack this thin, a 0-0 is always live. We still want the home side.