Frosinone vs Como — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.5: Three goals or fewer is the likely shape of this game. Frosinone have been tough at the Stirpe, losing one of eight there and letting in less than a goal a game at home. Ten of their last 15 games in all finished with 3 goals or fewer. Como are the better side and arrive on a four game winning run, but their games are not wild either. Ten of Como's last 17 also came in at 3 goals or fewer. On the road they score almost 2 a game and let in just over 1. Put that together and a 1-2 Como win is the likeliest finish. Frosinone get on the scoresheet, Como carry the extra quality, and the total stays where we want it. The old meetings between these clubs averaged under 3 goals too, though most of them are years old and from a lower division. The danger is Como in full flow. They have won 4-1 at Genoa and 4-1 against RB Leipzig this month, so they can put a game to bed early and keep pushing. If Frosinone chase a game they are losing, this can open up quickly. We still expect a controlled evening and a quiet score.