Chonburi FC vs Buriram United — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: These two have a long history of open games, and that is the main reason we want goals here. Their last 19 meetings have averaged just over 3 goals, including a 4-2 for Chonburi in November 2025 and a 0-5 for Buriram in March 2026. Chonburi have won 9, tied 3 and lost 8 of their last 20 games. Ten of those 20 had 3 goals or more, and they let in more than a goal a game. They are 15th with no points from two games, so they cannot sit back and play for a tie. Buriram are the stronger team and they carry the bigger threat. They have won 10 of their last 19 and they score almost 2 goals a game. Twelve of those 19 games had 3 goals or more. On the road they have won 5 of nine and score almost 2 a game there too. Buriram are 5 days on from a 1-1 tie in Malaysia against Johor Darul Takzim, with Chonburi on 7 days, so legs may be heavy at the back. A 1-2 to Buriram is the honest read, and we want this one to go past that. The worry is a controlled Buriram evening. Chonburi lost 0-1 at Chiangrai this season, so they can go quiet for long spells. Even so, both teams let in more than a goal a game, and we are backing the busier game.