Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig — Tips & Analysis

Over 3.25: These two cannot stop scoring against each other. Each of the last five meetings produced at least four goals, 4-1, 3-1, 2-2, 2-3 and 3-2, and the last 20 meetings averaged just over 3 goals. Leverkusen do their bit for that every week. They score 2 goals a game, they let in more than a goal a game, and 8 of their last 12 games had 3 or more goals. Leipzig are the bigger reason to be here. They score more than 2 goals a game and they let in more than a goal a game. Twelve of their last 14 games had 3 or more goals. They have not tied a single one of those 14 games either, which tells you how open they are. On the road it gets worse for them. Leipzig let in more than 2 goals a game away from home. Leverkusen have had only 4 days since their last game to Leipzig's 7, and four of their players are out. A tired back line against this Leipzig attack points one way. Expect the ball to turn over again and again rather than a slow chess match. A 3-1 to Leverkusen is the likeliest finish, and that clears what we need. The risk is a cagey start. If Leverkusen go ahead early and slow the game down, the goals can dry up. We still want the open, end to end game.