Bangkok United vs BG Pathum United — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: These two rarely give us many goals, and that is the heart of this pick. Their last 20 meetings have averaged under 3 goals in total. Both teams are built the same way. They keep it tight, control the middle and take few risks. Bangkok United have tied 8 of their last 20 games, more than they have won. They score more than a goal a game and let in the same, and only 8 of those 20 games had 3 goals or more. At their own ground they are better, with 5 wins in eight and almost 2 goals a game there. BG Pathum have not lost in eight away games, winning 3 and tying 5. They let in next to nothing on those trips and score 1 goal a game away from home. Only 7 of their last 17 games had 3 goals or more. BG Pathum are 3 days back from a trip to Singapore in the Champions League Two, so expect a slow, careful start from them. Bangkok United have had 9 days to get ready. A 1-0 to Bangkok United is the likeliest finish here, and that is a comfortable result for this bet. The one worry is that Bangkok United score almost 2 goals a game at home. An early goal would force BG Pathum forward and could open this up. We still expect a tight, low-scoring night.