Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 — Tips & Analysis

Auxerre +0.25: This one has tight written all over it, and that is what our pick is built on. Auxerre have been solid at home, with four wins from six there and less than a goal a game let in. Brest have won just 2 of their last 14. They have tied three of their last five, 2-2 with Toulouse, 2-2 at Le Mans and 1-1 with Angers. Away from home they score under a goal a game across seven trips. They have also won by 2 or more in only 1 of their last 14 games, so a heavy Auxerre defeat would be a shock. The history says the same thing. The last 20 meetings between these two have averaged under 2 goals, and seven of them finished level. Expect another quiet night that ends 1-1. The honest worry is that Auxerre have been getting away with it. They have been outplayed in most of their recent games and still picked up points, and that does not last forever. They are short of bodies too, with Diousse, Okoh, Senaya and Siwe all out. Even so, Brest have not shown enough on the road to win this comfortably, and Auxerre are hard to beat at home. We are happy on the Auxerre side of this one.