AC Milan vs Lecce — Tips & Analysis

Under 3: Neither of these teams scores much, and that is the case for keeping the goals low. Milan score just over a goal a game and their games average just over 2 goals in total. They have no win in three and were beaten 0-2 at home by Benfica in midweek. Lecce tell the same story with less of the ball. They score under a goal a game. Away from home they have been organised rather than open, letting in just over a goal a game across nine away trips. Only 6 of their last 15 games had 3 or more goals in them. Milan also carry the heavier legs. They have had 4 days since their last game, Lecce have had 7. A tired Milan chasing a first win in three will control this rather than throw bodies forward. Lecce are happy to sit in and make it awkward, and they are missing Willem Geubbels up top. That all points to a grinding game decided in the second half. A 1-0 to Milan is the likeliest score, and a night of one or two goals is the read. The warning comes from history. These two have averaged over 3 goals in their last 15 meetings, and Lecce let in four at home to Roma three weeks ago. An early Milan goal could open it up, but we still expect a tight, low scoring game.