Wrexham vs Southampton — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Southampton have been in and around high scoring games all season, and that is the main reason we want goals here. 12 of their last 16 games had 3 or more goals, and their matches average just over 3 goals in total. They score just over 2 goals a game and let in more than a goal themselves, so they rarely sit in a quiet 0-0. Wrexham are the weaker side and create very little, scoring just over a goal a game. Their bigger problem is at the back. They let in almost 2 goals a game and are missing Cleworth, Revan and Thomason, with two more doubtful. A patched up back line against the better attack usually leaks. The two meetings between these clubs both went Southampton's way and both were open, finishing 1-5 and 1-2. A 1-2 Southampton win is the shape we expect, with Wrexham hanging in for an hour before the extra quality tells. That gets us home. The worry is the away version of Southampton. On the road they have been much quieter, closer to a goal a game, with plenty of 1-0 and 1-1 finishes. If Wrexham sit deep and keep this dull, one goal each could be all we get. We still think there is enough in this game for the busier afternoon.