Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg — Tips & Analysis

FC Augsburg +0.25: Augsburg are simply the better team right now, and that is why we are with them. They sit 4th and have not lost in four games. They have scored 9 goals in three league games, winning 4-1 at Frankfurt and 3-0 at home to Schalke. Over a longer run they have won 7 of their last 15 and score almost 2 goals a game. Bremen are nowhere near that shape. They have lost 7 of their last 14, and 4 of their 6 home games in this run. They are missing five players too, with Agu, N'Diaye, Njinmah, Stage and Topp all out. History leans the same way. Augsburg have won 10 of the last 20 meetings to Bremen's 8, and those games average 3 goals. A 1-2 to Augsburg is the most likely score, and that lands this pick. They have enough up front to get their goal and enough about them to protect a slim lead. The catch is Augsburg's own team news. Mounié, Suso, Breithaupt, Kade, Sakar and Schnitzer are all out, so they are far from full strength. Bremen have scored in four games in a row, so a home point is well within reach. We still side with Augsburg, who look the stronger team even with all those bodies missing.