Tottenham vs Aston Villa — Tips & Analysis

Tottenham -0.25: Aston Villa are in a bad way, and that is where this pick starts. They sit 19th with one point from four games, and their squad has been pulled apart. Pau Torres, Amadou Onana and Ian Maatsen are all out, and Leon Goretzka is missing too. Tottenham have not scored a league goal this season. Their four league games read 0-0, 0-0, 0-2 and 0-3. The chances have been there though, and they have stayed tight at the other end, letting in just over a goal a game. Villa can hurt teams when they are fit. They score almost 2 goals a game and have won 6 of their last 14. But they have lost 6 of those 14 as well, and they played a cup tie in midweek on three days' rest. The history here says someone wins. The last 20 meetings produced no ties at all, with Tottenham on 11 wins to Villa's 9. A 1-0 home win looks the likeliest outcome, and that is enough for our pick. The risk is obvious. Tottenham have gone four league games without a goal, and Villa have won four of the last five meetings between them. One more blank afternoon sinks this. We think the goal finally comes here, and a patched-up Villa back line is the reason.