QPR vs Preston — Tips & Analysis

QPR -0.5: Preston arrive second bottom and are the weakest side QPR have hosted so far, and that is where this starts. Preston have lost 10 of their last 13 games and let in more than 2 goals a game. They have been beaten by 2 or more in 5 of those 13 and have won once in five on the road. They also score under a goal a game, so they rarely get a lead to protect. QPR sit sixth for a reason, and it is not their attack. They score under a goal a game as well, but they let in just over one, and their games average just over 2 goals in total. Only 6 of their last 14 had 3 or more goals. That is a side that wins tight games rather than big ones. The last five meetings finished 1-1, 1-1, 2-1, 2-1 and 1-0, so one goal usually decides this one. A 1-0 to QPR is the read, and that is the result we want. The risk is real. QPR have won only one of their last seven at Loftus Road and have tied 6 of their last 14. They are without Ilias Chair, Karamoko Dembele and Tariq Lamptey. Preston have also been playing better than their results lately. We still expect QPR to find the goal that wins it.