Paris FC vs Strasbourg — Tips & Analysis

Paris FC -0.25: Paris FC have been excellent at home, and that is why we are with them. They have won 5 of 7 at Jean Bouin, scoring more than 2 goals a game there and letting in under a goal. Across all games they have lost just 2 of their last 14, and they have not lost by 2 or more goals in any of them. Strasbourg can score, but they leak badly. They let in almost 2 goals a game, and their matches average more than 3 goals in total, the busiest of any side here. They were beaten 0-4 at Marseille, which shows what happens when a good team gets at them. They also lose forward Panichelli to a knee injury and Godo to a muscle problem, so their attack is short. Paris FC control games and should be able to play on the front foot. A 2-1 home win, with Strasbourg in it until late, is the likeliest reading, and that is exactly the game we are backing. The caution is that Strasbourg travel well. They have 3 wins, 1 tie and 2 losses on the road, and they won 6-2 at Troyes. Paris FC are also missing Mbemba, Otavio and Sangui from a back line that has been their strength. We still want the home side here.