Nottingham Forest vs Coventry — Tips & Analysis

Coventry +1: Forest do not win big, and that is the case for Coventry here. They have won by 2 or more goals in only 1 of their last 11 games. At home they have been quieter still. They score under a goal a game across their six home games. They did not score at all in three of those, and they won only one. Milenkovic and Savona are out, and Cunha has only just come back into training. Coventry arrive bottom of the table without a goal in four league games. They are missing six players, including Taiwo Awoniyi, who is suspended, and defender Aurele Amenda. That sounds grim, but they have been making chances in their last three games without getting the finish. They have also lost by 2 or more in only 3 of their last 17. These clubs know each other well, and Coventry have won three of the last seven meetings. Expect Coventry to sit deep and make Forest dig for an opening. A 1-0 Forest win is the most likely single score. That is cutting it fine for us, so Coventry have to keep this to one goal. The risk here is real. Coventry have already been beaten 0-5 by Brighton and 0-3 at Arsenal, so a heavy loss is in them. They also come in on three days' rest to Forest's seven. Forest at home have not looked like the side to punish that, so we are happy to back Coventry to stay close.