Lyon vs Rennes — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.25: Both teams played in Europe in midweek and have had only 3 days to recover. Tired legs point to a controlled game rather than an open one. Lyon have also been hard to score against lately, giving up very little at the back across their last four games. Fonseca made big changes for the trip to Anderlecht, so his first choice players walk into this one fresh. Lyon score almost 2 goals a game and let in more than a goal a game. Rennes are the form side. They are unbeaten and third, two points clear of Lyon, and they have let in only five goals in four league games. They are not a team that runs away with games either. Rennes have won by 2 or more goals just once in their last 13. Lyon are missing Tagliafico. Put it together and a 2-1 to Lyon looks the likeliest result, a game decided by quality rather than chaos. Here is the honest warning. These two have a history of wild nights. The last five meetings produced 6, 4, 5, 3 and 5 goals, and 19 meetings have averaged just over 3 goals. One early goal could drag this into that pattern again. We still back the tired legs and the tighter back lines to keep it in check.