Lincoln vs Swansea — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Swansea's defense is the strongest thing on the pitch, and it points this one low. They let in just over a goal a game, the best back line in this match, and they have already tied 0-0 with Wrexham and Sheffield United. Lincoln are nearly as tight. They have won 8 of their last 14, let in just over a goal a game themselves, and ground out 1-0 wins at both Preston and Bristol City. Both sides know how to kill a game off. Swansea's big scoring nights have come against sides in the bottom three, 3-0 at Derby and 3-1 against Burnley. Those heavy numbers say more about the opponent than about Swansea. Lincoln played on Tuesday and have three days less rest, which usually means a slower, scrappier afternoon. There is no history between these two to lean on. A 1-1 is the likely score, and that lands this comfortably. The warning is Lincoln's home form. They have won one of their last four at Sincil Bank and let in almost 2 goals a game there, which is the one place they look ordinary. Swansea have won 4 of their last 7 on the road and score almost 2 goals a game away from home. If that away form turns up, this gets away from us. We still want the low scoring game.