Le Mans vs Lorient — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Le Mans do not do quiet games. Their Ligue 1 nights this season have produced four, two, five and four goals, and both of their home games finished 2-2, against Lens and Stade Brestois. They score just over 2 goals a game and they have let in eight in four league games. 7 of their last 13 games have had 3 or more goals. Le Mans are unbeaten at home across six games, so they will come forward here rather than sit in. Lorient are the more careful side. They score just over a goal a game and let in more than a goal a game, and they travel better than they play at home. Their two away league trips brought a 1-0 win at Lens and a 0-0 at Nice. The last four meetings between these sides averaged just over 3 goals, and Lorient are without Fadiga with two more doubts. A 2-1 home win looks the likeliest result, and that is the kind of open game we are after. The risk is plain. Lorient have already kept clean sheets at Lens and Nice, and if they strangle this one the same way, it can die at 1-0. We still trust a Le Mans side that keeps scoring and keeps letting them in.