Everton vs Ipswich — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Ipswich are the reason we want goals here. Their games have averaged more than 3 goals in total, the busiest of either side, and 10 of their last 14 had 3 or more in them. They have been beaten 5-2 at Manchester United and 4-2 by Arsenal inside the last month, so they leak badly once a game opens up. On the road they let in more than a goal a game. Everton are no wall either. Their games have averaged almost 3 goals in total, and 8 of their last 13 have had 3 or more. They score more than a goal a game at their own ground and have not lost in five. The two meetings on record finished 2-2 and 2-0, an average of 3 goals a game. Everton also played a League Cup tie against Wolves three days ago, so tired legs late on could stretch this further. A 2-1 to Everton is the likely score, and that gets us home. The risk is Everton's habit of tying games. They have tied 6 of their last 13 and three league games in a row, and a flat 1-1 kills this. Ipswich have won 7 of their last 14, so they can control an afternoon rather than trade goals. We still want the busier game here.