Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 — Tips & Analysis

Over 3: Gladbach cannot keep the ball out of their own net, and that is where this pick starts. They have let in 12 goals in three league games. They sit 17th with no points and a goal difference of minus nine, beaten 0-5 at Freiburg and 0-3 at Leipzig. Their games average more than 3 goals in total, and 8 of their last 13 had 3 or more. Mainz arrive in better shape. They have won 5 of their last 12, and on the road they have won 4 of 6 games, letting in a goal a game on those trips. Their games are busy too, with 7 of the last 12 producing 3 or more goals. Mainz are without their first choice keeper Robin Zentner as well, so neither back line looks safe. A 1-2 to Mainz is the most likely single score. We want one more goal than that, and this game gives us plenty of ways to get it, because a broken Gladbach defense has to chase. The worry is the history between them. The last five meetings finished 1-1, 1-0, 1-3, 1-1 and 1-1, so these two can play out a quiet game. Gladbach are also missing their main striker Tim Kleindienst, who is banned. We still want the goals here.