VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98 — Tips & Analysis

VfL Wolfsburg -0.75: Wolfsburg are simply the better team here, and that gap is the reason we are on them. They sit 5th with 8 points from 5 games. Darmstadt are 16th, close to the drop, with 4 points and four more goals let in than scored. Wolfsburg score more than a goal a game and have won 4, tied 6 and lost 6 of their last 16. Darmstadt score just over a goal a game and let in almost 2. They have not won by 2 or more goals in any of their last 15 games. Both of their league away trips this season ended with no goal, 0-3 at Kaiserslautern and 0-1 at Dynamo Dresden. Wolfsburg have also won 4 of the last 7 meetings between these two. Expect Darmstadt to sit deep and counter, with Wolfsburg holding the ball and taking the lead. A 2-1 home win looks the most likely score, so we want Wolfsburg to push on and make the win a clear one. The home record is the worry. Wolfsburg have not won any of their last seven home games, a run of 4 ties and 3 losses. Their two home games in this league finished 4-4 with Cottbus and 0-0 with Kaiserslautern. They have won by 2 or more only twice in their last 16, so a wide win is far from certain. We still want Wolfsburg here.