Derry City vs Galway United — Tips & Analysis

Galway United +0.75: Galway have already proved they can handle this game. They have won two of the three meetings with Derry this season and tied the other. They are also unbeaten in their last four away games, with three wins and a tie. In their last nine away games they have won 4, tied 3 and lost 2. They let in more than a goal a game on their travels, which is the number that matters most here. Derry are dangerous at the Brandywell, where they score more than 2 goals a game. They are not a side who win by a distance, though. They have won by 2 or more in only 5 of their last 20 games. The head to head backs that up. These two have averaged just over 2 goals across their last 11 meetings, and the last five read 1-2, 1-1, 1-2, 2-1 and 1-1. Every one of those was close. A 1-1 looks the likely finish again, and a tight game is all Galway need for this to land. Two warnings come with it. Galway have scored three and two in their last two games from very few chances, so a quiet night in front of goal is due. Derry's recent games have also been wild, with 4, 1, 6, 6 and 8 total goals in their last five. We still want Galway with the start.