Bristol City vs Watford — Tips & Analysis

Watford +0.75: Bristol City are not scoring at home. They have won only 2 of their last six at Ashton Gate and score a goal a game there. They come into this three days after losing 0-1 at home to Lincoln, with a 1-4 at Southampton before that. Watford have had 6 days off. A flat home side on short rest does not run away with games. Watford travel badly, but they travel quietly. Their last three away league games finished 0-1 at West Brom, 0-2 at Swansea and 1-1 at Wrexham, five goals across the three. They also have eight points from seven games this season with a goal difference of minus 2. That is a much better side than their longer record suggests. The history fits the same picture, with 7 ties in the last 19 meetings between these two. A 1-1 is the likely finish. Watford have a head start here and do not have to win the game, which suits a night when neither attack looks trustworthy. Now the honest part. Watford are missing Bove, Bola, Baah, Boadu and Akomeah, with three more doubtful, and most of those are defenders. They have also lost by 2 or more in 7 of their last 16 games. If City finally click at home, this gets ugly fast. We are still taking Watford and the start.