OFI vs 1899 Hoffenheim — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: Hoffenheim keep turning up in high-scoring games, and that is the strongest reason to back goals here. They have had 3 or more goals in 12 of their last 14 games. They let in more than 2 goals a game on their travels and 2 a game overall. Their defending has been the story of their season. They have also lost three of their last five, so they arrive in poor shape. OFI are flying at home in Heraklion. They have won six of their last seven there and score more than 2 goals a game at the Pankritio. They won 1-0 away at Olympiakos on 12 September and knocked out CSKA Sofia 3-0 and 2-0 in qualifying. So a confident home side that goes after teams meets a visiting side that cannot stop anyone. Expect OFI to get at Hoffenheim early, and Hoffenheim have enough going forward to answer. A 2-1 to OFI is the likeliest finish, and an open game like that is the shape we are backing. The one worry is OFI's own record at the back in Heraklion. They let in under a goal a game there, and only 8 of their last 17 games had 3 or more goals. We still want goals here.