Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg — Tips & Analysis

Under 3: Levski have turned Sofia into a fortress, and that is the heart of this one. They have let in less than a goal a game across their last ten home games and won eight of them. They kept a clean sheet at home against AEK Athens in Champions League qualifying and won 1-0 away at Kairat Almaty. Levski have won 12 of their last 18 games and let in under a goal a game overall. Salzburg are the stronger, deeper squad and they have not lost away all season. Three of those seven away trips ended level, and they let in under a goal a game too. Two defences this tight usually mean a low-scoring night. Expect Levski to sit narrow and try to nick something from a set piece. Salzburg will have the ball and find the final pass hard to make. Levski do have three players out and four more doubtful, so the back line may not be the usual one. A 1-1 is the likeliest finish, and a quiet night is what we are backing. The warning is Salzburg's away scoring. They score more than 2 goals a game on the road and have won four of their last five, including 5-1 and 4-1 wins. We still expect a tight, low-scoring game.