Beşiktaş vs Marseille — Tips & Analysis

Beşiktaş -0.5: Marseille cannot score away from home, and that is the heart of this pick. They have won two and lost five of their seven away trips, with just three goals scored in them. They did not score in either of their last two away league games, losing 0-1 at Rennes and 0-2 at Monaco. Kondogbia is missing from their midfield, so the supply line is thinner again. Beşiktaş have been strong at home. They have won six of their eight home games, scoring 2 goals a game there and letting in under a goal. They have won 10 of their last 15 overall, and they have not lost by two or more in any of those 15. Their defense is doing real work, not riding its luck. The shape of the night looks clear. Beşiktaş take an early grip in a loud stadium and Marseille struggle to build anything. The home side should then manage the rest without a late scramble. A 2-0 Beşiktaş win is the most likely score, and that is a comfortable result for us. The caution is that Beşiktaş are without Trossard, Keleş and Rashica, so their attack is thinner than usual. They also lost 0-1 at Kauno Žalgiris in this competition last month, and Marseille may look different in Europe than they do in France. We still want Beşiktaş.