Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia — Tips & Analysis

Under 3: Olympiakos have become one of the quietest home teams around, and that is why we want the low score. Across seven home games they score less than a goal a game and let in under a goal. Only 4 of their last 14 games had 3 or more goals in them, and their games average just over 2 goals in total. They are also short of forwards. El Kaabi has a broken leg, Yazici and Roca are hurt, and Fortounis is suspended after a red card. That is their main goal threat gone. Jagiellonia are a decent side who knocked Rangers out over two legs, so they will not be overawed. But they have just lost 0-2 at Wisla Krakow, and they lost 0-2 at home to Widzew last month. They let in just over a goal a game, so they are not a wide open team either. This has the look of a tight, careful night where a point suits both of them. A 1-1 is the likeliest score, and that is exactly the sort of game we are backing. The warning is what Jagiellonia do on the road. They score almost 2 goals a game on their travels, and 8 of their last 14 games had 3 or more goals. An early goal for the visitors would force Olympiakos out and open this up. We still expect a quiet night in Piraeus.