Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield Utd — Tips & Analysis

Under 3: Fleetwood turn games into slow, tight nights, and that is what we are backing here. They have tied seven of their last 13 games, and 10 of those 13 finished within a single goal. Only 5 of their last 13 have had 3 or more goals in them. At home they let in about a goal a game across eight matches, and they have come through both cup rounds without letting one in. Sheffield United are the better team on paper, but they are not set up to blow this open. They are unbeaten in seven away games and let in less than a goal a game in them. They also arrive three days after a home defeat by Wolves, with Seriki, Burrows, Chong and One all out. Two of their last three league games ended in defeat and changes are expected, so this will not be their strongest eleven. Put a shuffled side against a stubborn home team and goals are usually hard to come by. A 1-1 is the likeliest score, and that is a comfortable night for us. The risk is clear enough. Sheffield United are two divisions higher, and 10 of their last 14 games have had 3 or more goals. If they name a strong team and score early, this can open right up. We still expect a tight, low-scoring tie.