Liverpool vs Tottenham — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.25: Tottenham cannot score right now, and that is the heart of this pick. Spurs have not scored in four of their last five league games, including 0-2 at home to Newcastle and 0-3 at Brentford. They score just 1 goal a game overall, and under a goal a game in their six away games. Tonali and Porro both miss this one. Richarlison has been frozen out, and Simons, Odobert and Kulusevski are all long term absentees. That is a very thin attacking pool for a side already short of goals. Liverpool will rotate heavily, with Mamardashvili in goal and teenagers Ngumoha and Nyoni in line to start, though Isak still leads the line. Liverpool are not a team that blows games open either. They have won by 2 or more goals in only 4 of their last 18. A 2-0 Liverpool win looks like the shape of the night. They should control the ball, score either side of half time, then see the tie out rather than chase a third. The last two meetings finished 1-1 and 2-1, both quiet enough. The worry is that these games are not usually quiet. Liverpool's last 18 games have produced 3 or more goals 10 times, and the last 20 meetings have averaged more than 3 goals. If the young Liverpool side gives up an early goal, this can open up fast. We still want the low scoring night here.