Fiorentina vs Pisa — Tips & Analysis

Fiorentina -1.25: Pisa are the reason this pick is on. They have won 3 and lost 12 of their last 16 games. On the road they have won 1 and lost 6, scoring less than a goal a game and letting in more than 2. They have been beaten by 2 or more goals in 6 of their last 16. Now they plan to change most of the team, with a league game against Mantova on Sunday and a hard spell of the season to get through. Fiorentina are far from perfect themselves. They score just over a goal a game at the Franchi. Across their last 13 games they have let in more goals than they have scored. But they did put four past Benevento at home in the last round of this cup, so the goals come when the other side is weaker. They have won 5, tied 4 and lost 4 of those 13 games. Two goals should be enough to get through here, and a 2-0 Fiorentina win is how it looks. A two goal win is exactly what this pick wants. Score first before the hour and a changed Pisa side has nothing to come back with. The worry is Fiorentina's own home form. They lost 0-3 to Frosinone and 1-2 to Torino at the Franchi, and Vanoli is resting players here too. We still think the gap in quality shows up on the scoreboard.