Bristol City vs Lincoln — Tips & Analysis

Lincoln +0.5: Lincoln have the better record across their last 14 games and they travel well. They have won 8 of their last 14 games. On the road they have won 6, tied 1 and lost 2, letting in just over a goal a game. That is the main reason we are with them. Bristol City have won 5, tied 3 and lost 5 of their last 13. They score just over a goal a game at Ashton Gate, and they let in 4 at Southampton on 12 September. Centre back Luke McNally is out, which does not help a back line that has been opened up lately. Lincoln have the opposite problem. Almost nothing happens in their games. Their last four league games finished 1-0, 1-1, 0-0 and 1-0, so four goals in four matches. That shape is hard to break down. Bristol City will have more of the ball at Ashton Gate, but clear chances should be rare. A 1-1 is the most likely finish, and a night like that suits this pick. Two things give us pause. Bristol City have not tied a home game in six, winning 3 and losing 3, so a level game goes against their own pattern. Lincoln are also without Tendayi Darikwa and Melia, with Tom Hamer a doubt. We are still happy to back Lincoln to leave Bristol unbeaten.