Alaves vs Valencia — Tips & Analysis

Alaves -0.25: Valencia are bottom of La Liga with 1 point from 5 games and have scored once in their last five. Those games read 0-1, 0-5, 1-3, 0-1 and 0-0. They come here without three centre backs in Copete, Diakhaby and Tarrega, and right back Foulquier is out as well. Striker Umar Sadiq is missing too, so there is very little coming the other way. Alaves are fourth and they are strong at Mendizorroza. In nine home games they have won 5, tied 2 and lost 2, scoring 2 goals a game there. That run includes a 5-2 against Osasuna and a 3-0 against Getafe. Valencia score a goal a game and let in more than that. A patched up back line against that Alaves attack is the story of the night. Expect the home side to take control early and score either side of half time. A 2-0 is the most likely finish, and a win is all we are asking for. The one worry is that Valencia are at their most stubborn when they sit deep. They have a 0-0 with Celta and 0-1 losses to Betis and Sevilla to show for it, and the last four meetings between these two were all tight. Alaves are still the side we want.