Sirius vs Degerfors IF — Tips & Analysis

Sirius -1: Degerfors are the perfect opponent for a team trying to get back on track. They have not scored in five of their last six away league games, losing 0-2, 0-2, 0-2, 0-4 and 0-2. On the road they manage a goal a game. Sirius are still top of the table. They have won 13 of their last 19 games and score more than 2 goals a game. They have also beaten Degerfors in 8 of the last 13 meetings, including a 3-0 in the reverse game earlier this year. Degerfors sit 14th. They have won 5, tied 4 and lost 10 of their last 19, and they have been beaten by 2 or more goals in 6 of those. They are also without Diatara, who is suspended, and Pikkarainen, who has a knee injury. Our read is a controlled 2-0. Sirius should go ahead before the break and add a second, without this turning into the goal-fest their season numbers hint at. The warning is that Sirius are limping. They have won once in their last five league games, and both home defeats came here, 0-1 to Malmo and 0-3 to Hacken. They also let in more than a goal a game at home, so one Degerfors goal changes the shape of this completely. We still think Sirius have far too much for a team this poor on the road.