RED Star FC 93 vs Metz — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Metz are the reason we want a quiet night here. They have not won a game away from home, with 4 ties and 1 loss on the road. They score barely more than a goal in those games. Their last five results are two wins and three ties, so they are hard to beat and slow to pull away. Red Star are an odd case. They have been better on their travels than in front of their own crowd. At Stade Bauer they have won 2, tied 3 and lost 2. Across the season they score more than a goal a game and let in more than a goal a game. That is a side which trades chances without ever taking a game by the throat. The history backs the tight read. Their last 10 meetings have been low scoring, with only 4 of every 10 going past 2 goals. Metz sit fifth in Ligue 2 with nine points from five games, four places above Red Star, so a point suits them fine. A 1-1, decided by a set piece or a mistake, is the shape that fits both sides. The risk is that neither team is truly dull. Red Star have had 3 or more goals in 7 of their last 13 games, and Metz in 7 of their last 11. One early goal would change the whole night. We still side with the low scoring game.