Sporting Gijon vs Eldense — Tips & Analysis

Sporting Gijon -0.5: Eldense have not scored an away goal in this division all season. They lost 0-1 at Leganes and 0-3 at Almeria, and they score less than a goal a game on the road. They sit 20th with two points from four games after coming up from the tier below. A side in that shape has to keep it goalless and hope, which is a hard way to take anything from El Molinón. Sporting are not flashy but they are solid at home. They have won 4, tied 2 and lost 2 there, letting in less than a goal a game. They have also beaten Eldense in 3 of the last 4 meetings and have not lost any of them. Our read is a 1-0 Sporting win, and that is all this pick needs. The worry is Sporting's own scoring. They are missing Hugo Guillamón, Gaspar Campos and striker Andrés Ferrari, and they score just over a goal a game at home. Eldense held Mallorca to 0-0 last week, so they can dig in for long spells. Sporting also lost 0-2 at home to Girona last time out, so this is not a side in perfect order. It will be nervy. We still back Sporting to find the one goal that wins it.