Napoli vs Bologna — Tips & Analysis

Bologna +0.75: Napoli are limping into this one, and Bologna are a lot better than their place in the table. Napoli have lost their last three games. They also have seven players out, including Anguissa, McTominay, Buongiorno and goalkeeper Meret. That leaves a patched up team. Napoli have had only 4 days off since a midweek loss in Europe, and Bologna have had 7. Napoli are still the better side. They score more than a goal a game, let in under a goal a game, and have won 8 of their last 15. What they do not do is win big. Napoli have won by 2 or more goals in only 3 of those 15 games. Bologna sit 16th on a single point, but they have been making plenty of chances and defending well over their last three games. They have also taken two of the last three meetings, including a 3-2 win in Naples in May. A tired home side against a rested one points to a tight, scrappy night. A 1-1 tie is the most likely result, and that is a fine one for us. The warning is real, though. Bologna have lost by 2 or more goals in 5 of their last 14 games, so a heavy night is possible. Anguissa is also pushing to be fit and could come off the bench to steady that midfield. With Napoli this short of players and this short of rest, we still want Bologna with the head start.