Lecce vs Monza — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.25: These two just do not produce goals together. The last five meetings finished 0-0, 2-1, 1-1, 1-1 and 1-0. Across the last ten meetings, only one in five had 3 or more goals. Lecce are a big reason why. They score under a goal a game, and at their own ground they have managed even less than that across six home games. Their games have just over 2 goals in them on average, and only 6 of their last 15 had 3 or more. Lecce are without Geubbels too, so a blunt attack is thinner still. Monza are not the side to blow this open. They sit 18th with one point from three games, and they are missing captain Pessina, plus Toure and Ziolkowski. Ciurria and Ngonge are doubtful as well. A team that short of bodies and confidence usually plays for a point away from home. Our read is a scrappy 1-1, and that is the kind of night we want. Anything quieter than that suits us even better. The warning is that Lecce have been riding their luck at the back lately. Teams have been creating far more against them than the scorelines show. Monza also score more than a goal a game, so one early goal could change the mood of this. We still want the quiet game here.