Heerenveen vs Telstar — Tips & Analysis

Over 3.25: Neither of these teams keeps a game quiet. Heerenveen's games have just over 3 goals in them on average, counting both teams, and 10 of their last 15 had 3 or more. They score more than a goal a game, and they let in more than a goal a game as well. Telstar are the same kind of side. They let in almost 2 goals a game, and 11 of their last 14 games had 3 or more goals. Telstar also played just four days ago at Twente, and they lost that one. Heerenveen have had a full week to get ready. That gap usually shows in the last half hour, when tired legs leave gaps at the back. The last three meetings between these two had just over 3 goals in them on average, so this one has a habit of opening up. Our read is a 2-1 Heerenveen win. The home side get ahead, Telstar get one back, and that is already a busy game. It is still one goal short of what we need, so we want this to keep running. With two defences this loose, a fourth goal is always live. The honest warning is that 4 or more goals have landed in only 6 of Heerenveen's last 15 games. Heerenveen are missing three players as well, so they may take fewer risks. We are still happy to back goals in this one.