Hammarby FF vs IF Brommapojkarna — Tips & Analysis

Hammarby FF -1.75: Hammarby are hard to score against at their own ground and busy at the other end. They have let in five goals in eight home games at 3Arena, where they have won 5, tied 1 and lost 2. They score more than 2 goals a game there, so a clear home win is the normal outcome. Hammarby have won by 2 or more goals in 7 of their last 19 games, which is the kind of margin this pick is built on. Brommapojkarna let in 2 goals a game on the road, where they have won 3, tied 2 and lost 5. They were beaten 0-4 at Gais on 31 August. They have won by 2 or more only 3 times in their last 19 games, so they rarely take a game away from anyone. Hammarby have also owned this matchup, winning 8 of the last 12 meetings. Our read is a 2-0 Hammarby win. That is the shape we want, and a third goal would leave nothing to worry about. The risk here is the derby. Brommapojkarna held Hammarby 1-1 at Grimsta in July and beat Elfsborg last time out, so they can sit in and frustrate. Hammarby are also without S. Kone. We still want Hammarby to win this one by a clear margin.