Coventry vs Brighton — Tips & Analysis

Coventry +0.75: Brighton arrive with the longest injury list in the league. Mitoma, Minteh, Ferguson and Tzimas are all out, and that is a big chunk of their attack gone. Brighton are also a much weaker team on the road. Away from home they have won 2, tied 2 and lost 3, and they score just over a goal a game. At their own ground they score just over 2. Coventry are bottom with no points and no goals scored yet, so nobody is calling them good right now. But their trouble is scoring, not falling apart. They have lost by 2 or more goals only once in their last 17 games, and across that run they let in under a goal a game. That is the habit that matters for a pick like this. Both teams have had 8 days to get ready, so there is no tiredness excuse either way. Our read is a 1-1. Coventry finally get on the board, Brighton's patched up attack does not have enough, and the points are shared. That result does the job for us. The risk is real though. Brighton have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these sides. A newly promoted team with no goals can also fold if it goes 1-0 early. We are still happy taking Coventry to stay close.