Celta Vigo vs Malaga — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Two of the weakest attacks in the division meet here. Celta have scored twice in five league games and score less than a goal a game across their last 15. Their matches have just over 2 goals in them on average. Malaga are even worse away from home. They have not scored an away goal in La Liga this season, losing 0-4 at Real Madrid and 0-2 at Atletico. They tied both home games 0-0 and 1-1, so quiet games are their normal. Malaga are missing five players, Calero, Diarra, Lobete, Murillo and Ochoa, which leaves them shorter still up front. Celta have Antanon out, with Borja Iglesias among the doubts, so neither attack arrives at full strength. The history fits too. The last 12 meetings have averaged just over 2 goals. Expect Celta to keep the ball, work for openings and win this with one moment. A 1-0 is our read, and that is a comfortable outcome for us. The risk is Celta's own home form. They have lost both home games this season, and 7 of their last 15 games had 3 or more goals in them. One early goal could stretch this out. We still expect a tight, low-scoring afternoon.