Benfica vs GIL Vicente — Tips & Analysis

GIL Vicente +2.25: Gil Vicente are built to keep the score down, and that is the whole point of this pick. They have lost by 2 or more goals in only 3 of their last 16 games. Better still, they have let in a single goal across their last four league games. Benfica are flying. They have won their last 5, have 12 wins from 17 overall, and score just over 3 goals a game. At their own ground they are unbeaten this season with 6 wins from 8. So this is not about stopping Benfica. It is about how far they go once they are in front. Gil Vicente have tied 4 of their 7 away games and barely score on the road, at under a goal a game. They set up not to lose, and they will be happy to make this a slow, narrow evening. Benfica are also back out after 4 days off, with Gil Vicente having had 7. A 2-0 to Benfica is the most likely score, and that is exactly the kind of night we want. Benfica take control, find the opener at some stage, then manage the game out. The warning is clear enough. Benfica have won by 2 or more goals in 10 of their last 17, and a 3-0 at home would shock nobody. We are still with Gil Vicente to keep this respectable.