FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.5: The history between these two points to a controlled night, and that is the case for backing the quieter game. The last 20 meetings averaged under 3 goals in total, and most of them stayed low scoring. Mainz have won 6, tied 2 and lost 4 of their last 12, but their home form has been poor. They have won one of their last five at the Mewa Arena, and they let in more goals there than they score. Their 5-0 win at Hamburg last week ran a long way ahead of how they actually played. Frankfurt sit 13th on one point with a goal difference of -3, and they were beaten 1-4 at home by Augsburg last time out. They have Collins and Ngankam out, with Chaibi, Knauff and Pimpong all doubtful, so a big slice of their attack is missing. Mainz are without five of their own, and goalkeeper Zentner is doubtful with a thigh problem. A 2-1 to Mainz is the likeliest finish. That is the shape these games keep taking: the home side in front, Frankfurt getting a reply, nobody running away with it. The honest warning is Frankfurt. Their games average just over 4 goals in total, and 10 of their last 12 had 3 or more. If both attacks click early this can get away from us. We still expect a controlled game here.