FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen — Tips & Analysis

FC Augsburg +0.75: Augsburg are top of the Bundesliga and have already got the better of this opponent twice. They won 2-1 at Leverkusen in April and 2-0 back in December. Augsburg have 6 points with a goal difference of +6, after a 4-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt and a 3-0 against Schalke. They have won 8, tied 3 and lost 4 of their last 15, and their last five games read four wins and one loss. Leverkusen are the bigger name and they will make chances. They score more than 2 goals a game, but they let in more than a goal a game. Their last 12 games read 6 wins, 2 ties and 4 losses. They have been making the better chances in their recent games, so nobody is keeping a clean sheet here. Expect a competitive game with goals at both ends that Augsburg edge at home, rather than the shootout the scoring averages suggest. A 2-1 to Augsburg is the likeliest finish, and Augsburg avoiding defeat is all we are asking for. The history is the worry. Leverkusen have won 12 of the last 20 meetings, so this recent two game swing runs against the long story. Augsburg are also without S. Mounie and T. Breithaupt, with three more names in doubt. We still back the home side to keep their run going.