Chelsea vs Hull City — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.5: Hull drag every game down to their level, and that is the reason this one stays quiet. Only one of their last 14 games has had 4 or more goals in it. They score a goal a game and let in less than one, and their games average almost 2 goals in total. They are third on seven points and they beat Manchester United 2-0 last month, so this is a real team, not a soft touch. Chelsea should still win. They have won 6, tied 1 and lost 7 of their last 14, they score plenty at home, and they have won all nine meetings with Hull. Those nine games averaged almost 3 goals in total, which is the shape we want. Hull are missing six players, including goalkeeper Jack Butland, so a Chelsea goal or two is coming. Chelsea are also three days on from a 6-3 cup tie, which usually means a slower, more careful night. A 2-1 to Chelsea is the likeliest finish, and that keeps this where we want it. The warning is Chelsea themselves. Their last five games produced 9, 3, 7, 2 and 5 goals, and they let in more than a goal a game at home. If Hull get an early one and Chelsea have to chase, this can run away from us. We still want the lower scoring game here.