Auxerre vs Nice — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Nice cannot score, and that is the heart of this one. They have scored once in three league games this season and average under a goal a game in their away matches. Nice tie a lot too. Eight of their last 15 games ended level, and they have won once in eight on the road. They are missing five players as well, with Abergel, Bombito, Boudaoui, Mendy and Sanson all out. Auxerre are bottom of the league with no points from three games and a goal difference of -7. Four of their own players are ruled out and four more are in doubt, so this is a patched up home side playing with no confidence. Neither team looks able to build long spells of pressure. The last 12 meetings between these two averaged just over 2 goals a game, and Nice's games have run at just over 2 as well. A 1-1 looks the likeliest finish, with the goals coming from single moments rather than either side taking control. That is a quiet afternoon and exactly what we want. The clear warning is Auxerre's defending. They have let in 11 goals in three league games, losing 1-3, 1-3 and 2-5, and their games have averaged 3 goals. If Nice suddenly start scoring, this gets away from us fast. We still expect a tight, low scoring game.