Atalanta vs Cagliari — Tips & Analysis

Atalanta -0.75: Cagliari travel short of attackers and short of goals, and that is the case for Atalanta here. Cagliari are without Felici, Idrissi and Trepy, and Nzola is not fully fit. They score under a goal a game on the road, and four of their last five games finished with two goals or fewer, including three 1-0 results. Atalanta have won 6, tied 5 and lost 5 of their last 16, and they have taken three wins from their last four. Their home games have been quiet ones: eight at home this year have produced nine goals in total. Expect that shape again, with Atalanta holding the ball and making the better chances. A 1-0 to Atalanta is the likeliest finish, and a bigger Atalanta win would suit us even better. The history is mixed. Atalanta have won 11 of the last 20 meetings, but nine of those 20 had 3 or more goals, and Cagliari took the most recent one 3-2. There are real worries here. Atalanta have won by 2 or more goals in only 1 of their last 16 games. They are also without Hien and Sulemana, with Gaetano suspended, and their last three games saw them well beaten on chances. We still expect Atalanta to be too strong for this Cagliari side.