Academico Viseu vs Vitória SC — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Vitoria cannot score, and that is the heart of this pick. They have not scored in three of their five league games, and they took 29 shots against Casa Pia last weekend and still tied 0-0. Vitoria score less than a goal a game, and only 2 of their last 11 games had 3 or more goals in them. Viseu are not any better in front of goal at this level. They have not scored in either of their top flight home games, losing 0-3 to Porto and 0-1 to Santa Clara. Their scoring numbers come mostly from second tier games against weaker teams, so treat them with care. Viseu's games have just over 2 goals in them on average, and they let in under a goal a game. Put the two together and you get a night with very little happening at either end. Vitoria should hold the ball and the ground, and Vitoria winning 1-0 is the likeliest finish. A goalless game is live as well, and both of those suit us. The warning is simple. Nine of Viseu's last 18 games had 3 or more goals, and one of their two home games at this level ended 0-3. An early goal would change the shape of this completely, because Vitoria do make plenty of chances. We still expect a tight, low scoring game.