St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers — Tips & Analysis

St Patrick's Athl. -0.25: Shamrock Rovers have gone five games without a win and their last five read DDLDL. They are also a different team away from home, with two wins in ten away games. That slump is the main reason we are with St Patrick's here. Richmond Park has been a hard place to score. St Patrick's have let in under a goal a game across 11 home games, winning six of them and losing two. They have won three of their last five as well, so the form line and the home record both point the same way. Rovers score barely more than a goal a game on the road and let in almost 2 on their trips. Last month they lost 1-5 at Egnatia and 0-1 at KuPS in Europe. A team playing like that has to defend for long spells at a ground where chances are scarce. Four of the last five meetings finished 0-1, 0-1, 0-2 and 1-0, so two goals or fewer has been the norm. A 1-0 home win is the most likely score, and that lands this pick. Rovers are still the better team on paper. They have won 12 of the last 20 meetings and still lead the table by six points. These two also served up a 3-2 in the cup three weeks ago. We are with the home side anyway.